Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-23 0.004733 0.004986 0.005246 0.005535 0.005847 0.006174 0.006544
2025-11-30 0.004244 0.004606 0.004997 0.005449 0.005963 0.006529 0.007205
2025-12-07 0.003935 0.004356 0.004823 0.005380 0.006034 0.006782 0.007711
2025-12-14 0.003733 0.004198 0.004725 0.005371 0.006149 0.007068 0.008248
2025-12-21 0.003480 0.003961 0.004514 0.005206 0.006058 0.007087 0.008447
2025-12-28 0.003359 0.003867 0.004462 0.005221 0.006176 0.007358 0.008966
2026-01-04 0.003275 0.003812 0.004450 0.005279 0.006344 0.007695 0.009584
2026-01-11 0.003156 0.003706 0.004369 0.005242 0.006384 0.007863 0.009983
2026-01-18 0.003061 0.003624 0.004312 0.005231 0.006455 0.008070 0.010441
2026-01-25 0.002960 0.003530 0.004235 0.005188 0.006476 0.008208 0.010807
2026-02-01 0.002928 0.003522 0.004265 0.005285 0.006688 0.008615 0.011585
2026-02-08 0.002846 0.003445 0.004202 0.005254 0.006721 0.008770 0.011997
2026-02-15 0.002777 0.003384 0.004159 0.005249 0.006791 0.008983 0.012516
2026-02-22 0.002683 0.003288 0.004066 0.005170 0.006753 0.009036 0.012785
2026-03-01 0.002601 0.003204 0.003986 0.005106 0.006731 0.009108 0.013089
2026-03-08 0.002545 0.003153 0.003947 0.005097 0.006787 0.009300 0.013598
2026-03-15 0.002439 0.003032 0.003810 0.004944 0.006623 0.009144 0.013511
2026-03-22 0.002399 0.002998 0.003791 0.004958 0.006708 0.009379 0.014107
2026-03-29 0.002375 0.002984 0.003799 0.005012 0.006855 0.009718 0.014911
2026-04-05 0.002322 0.002930 0.003749 0.004977 0.006864 0.009834 0.015320
2026-04-12 0.002280 0.002890 0.003717 0.004968 0.006910 0.010012 0.015857
2026-04-19 0.002229 0.002837 0.003665 0.004927 0.006906 0.010104 0.016238
2026-04-26 0.002223 0.002845 0.003700 0.005017 0.007112 0.010563 0.017362